Sri Lanka likely to wrap it up

Sri Lanka have been the best side throughout the Tri Nations Trophy but it comes down to one match, against a dangerous India side, to decide who comes out on top.

We've seen plenty of examples of a side being outplayed throughout a tri-nations event and then pinching the final, which perhaps explains why Sri Lanka are only 4/5 to win Saturday's final and India are just even money.

But sometimes the facts do tell the story. Though India have the ability to beat anyone when they are at full strength, in any form of the game, they are below strength here and eight times out of 10, Sri Lanka would win this match.

That makes bet365's offer of 4/5 on the home side - and remember they have home advantage - rather generous, even though India have a habit of upsetting the odds when these two sides have.

Tillekeratne Dilshan, Mahela Jayawardene and Kumar Sangakkara are all joint favourites at 7/2 to top-score for Sri Lanka, while Upul Tharanga is 9/2 and then there's a big gap to Thilan Samaraweera.

For India, it's all about Virender Sehwag - if he performs, India will go close. The swashbuckling opener is 5/2 clear favourite to be his side's top runscorer, with Yuvraj Singh 9/2 and then Dinesh Karthik, Rohit Sharma and Vinod Kohli all 5/1 and Suresh Raina 11/2.

I have to go with the percentages on this one. All things being equal, Sri Lanka win, so take the 4/5 on offer.